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Sacramento Kings vs Los Angeles Lakers: Betting & Analysis

LAKERS (+3.5) AT KINGS (-3.5) o/u 224

TEAMRECORDATSAWAYHOMEO/U
Los Angeles Lakers24-1216-2013-411-813-23
Sacramento Kings13-2114-206-97-1223-11

A LOOK AT THE NUMBERS

LAL OFFRANKSTATRANKSAC DEF
111.121PTS/GAME30120.3
488FG%3049.2
34.9253PT%3040.2
74.525FT%2980.6
45.58REB/GAME1844.6
LAL DEFRANKSTATRANKSAC OFF
105.92PTS/GAME10114.4
44.95FG%947.7
35.583PT%1536.6
76.35FT%3071.9
41.83REB/GAME2742.5

INJURIES

NAMEINJURYTEAMSTATUS
H. WhitesideCOVIDSACOUT
J. ParkerCOVIDSACOUT
C. MetuWristSACOUT
T. HaliburtonCalfSACOUT
A. CarusoNeckLALQUES.
A. DavisCalfLALOUT
L. JamesRestLALOUT
M. GasolIllnessLALQUES.
K. KuzmaHeelLALQUES.

TRENDS

SACRAMENTO:

Over is 4-0 in Kings last 4 games as a home favorite.

Kings are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Kings are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games.

Kings are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games overall.

LOS ANGELES:

Under is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 games as a road underdog.

Under is 7-1 in Lakers last 8 games following a straight up loss.

Lakers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

HEAD – 2 – HEAD:

Lakers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Sacramento.

Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Sacramento.

Lakers are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Under is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings.

BETTING ANALYSIS:

The betting angle of this game flipped overnight as it was announced that Los Angles Lakers star LeBron James would not be suiting up for Wednesday’s game in Sacramento. What was looking like would be an easy opportunity for Los Angeles to split a back-to-back, has turned into a chance for Sacramento to get back into the win column after an all-time bad beat on Sunday vs Charlotte.

Without LBJ and AD, the Lakers will surely struggle to find offense. Last season without LeBron, the Lakers found mixed results going 2-2 without their floor general, so look to their veteran reserves to take a step up for the absent superstars. Expect big performances out of Dennis Schroder, Talen Horton-Tucker, and notorious “Kings Killer” Montrezl Harrell.

On the Sacramento side, they come into tonight’s game relatively more healthy than their opponents with the notable exception of Tyrese Haliburton. It was announced yesterday, the Kings rookie will miss the remaining stretch of games pre-All-Star break. The Kings come into tonight’s game looking like they should have the upper hand, as long as they take care of business (i.e. not give up a career high to anyone).

It’s a dangerous place to be when you have financial implications riding on the Kings success….especially to play the under….not an easy way to make your winning for sure…but the overwhelming circumstances are just too big to ignore. I like the under play here even with the Kings having a HISTORICALLY BAD defense. It seems crazy to bet that they will contain anyone under 120 points, but this might be the worst offense the Kings face this season. I see Los Angeles leaning heavily on their top-tier defense and trying to slow the game down to muck it up to try and keep the score close and low scoring.

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