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Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs: Odds, Stats and Analysis

KINGS (+2.5) AT SPURS (-2.5) o/u 230.5

TEAMRECORDATS
(Against The Spread)
HOMEAWAYO/U
San Antonio Spurs23-2124-20-011-1412-720-24
Sacramento Kings22-2522-25-012-1210-1328-19

A LOOK AT THE NUMBERS

SA DEFRANKSTATRANKSAC OFF
110.711PTS/GAME6115.1
46.614FG%548.5
37.8233PT%1536.5
75.02FT%2873.4
47.628REB/GAME2742.5
SA OFFRANKSTATRANKSAC DEF
109.522PTS/GAME29118.5
46.020FG%3048.9
36.1183PT%3039.1
78.510FT%2880.2
43.818REB/GAME1744.3

INJURIES

NAMEINJURYTEAMSTATUS
H. WhitesideKneeSACOUT
J. RamseyHamstringSACACTIVE
M. Bagley IIIHandSACOUT
K. Bates- DiopHamstringSAOUT
T. LylesAnkleSAOUT
L. Walker IVWristSAPROB.

TRENDS

SACRAMENTO:

Under is 8-1 in Kings last 9 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

Under is 7-1 in Kings last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.

Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.

SAN ANTONIO:

Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

Under is 7-1 in Spurs last 8 Wednesday games.

Under is 10-2 in Spurs last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

HEAD – 2 – HEAD:

Kings are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Kings are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in San Antonio.

Over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.

PREVIOUS MATCHUP:

March 29, 2021 : SAC 132 – 115 SA

Analysis:

Sacramento has taken 7 of their last 8 matchups against the spread versus San Antonio and I look for that trend to continue tonight. Sacramento is as hot as can be right now, winning their last 5 games (7 of their last 8) including a decisive 17-point win over the Spurs on Monday evening. Since the insertion of Tyrese Haliburton into the starting lineup, Sacramento has won 6 of the 8 games, with a combined ATS margin of 72.5 in their wins.

For now, it appears oddsmakers are satisfied with hedging on the Kings’ success expecting them to eventually fall back into form. For those who have watched Sacramento during their winning streak, you would point out that the Kings look a lot different than they did earlier in the season when a similar winning streak was directly followed by a 9-game skid. De’Aaron Fox has never looked better, Buddy Hield is back in form, Tyrese Haliburton is flourishing in a starting role, and the team now has a legitimate bench rotation.

As for San Antonio, they are on the total opposite end of the winning spectrum. They find themselves in the midst of losing 4 out of their last 5 against the spread by a combined margin of -66.5, not ideal for a team that is currently trying to hold its place in the 8th seed in the Western Conference.

I like riding the hot hand with Sacramento in this one. I didn’t see anything on Monday that leads to believe that result was a fluke, or that the Spurs are a few adjustments away from making that a close game. For the Kings teams of old, this is a textbook trap game – on a great win steak, never looked better, JUST blew this team out two days ago- TEXTBOOK. I expect something different. Even if they don’t win the game outright, with the +2.5 point cushion they are getting, I’ll gladly take the Kings spread and feel good knowing Sacramento hasn’t lost to San Antonio by a margin that large since their matchup in April 2018.

KINGS +2.5